NFL Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview | The Numbers You Need to Know
Game time! Week 16 Football is just around the corner and our @coachstevenP has the premium player stats you need for player props, DFS, or start/sit fantasy advice.
Steven Pintado
The Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview!
(Photo by Kevin Langley/Icon Sportswire)
Denver Broncos (9-5) vs Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)
Russell Wilson – Could see a slight bump if George Pickens plays.
The Steelers have allowed 3-straight games of 2-or-more passing touchdowns.
The Ravens have kept opposing QBs under 220 passing yards in the last 4 games.
Running Backs | Week 16 Saturday Preview
Pittsburgh Steelers
Player
Fantasy Rank (PPR)
Week 16 Ranking
Start %
FP/G
FP/G Last 4 Weeks
ATT/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps/G
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
Najee Harris
27th
High RB3
75%
12.5
11.7
16.4
50.3
52%
9.0
44.0
54.1
4.4
0.21
2.37
1.52
Jaylen Warren
44th
Mid Rb3
74%
7.6
9.4
7.6
20.0
43%
9.8
13.6
15.2
3.3
0.19
2.47
1.60
Baltimore Ravens
Player
Fantasy Rank (PPR)
Week 16 Ranking
Start %
FP/G
FP/G Last 4 Weeks
ATT/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps/G
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
Derrick Henry
6th
Low RB1
90%
18.6
11.6
18.1
58.0
55%
3.5
88.9
62.9
7.1
0.21
3.08
2.72
Justice Hill
39th
Low RB3
70%
8.9
12.7
3.2
10.3
44%
11.6
5.6
8.6
4.4
0.13
3.09
1.20
The Steelers allowed 5 RB1 performances from Weeks 8 to 13 but, over the last 2 weeks, have kept opposing running backs outside of top-24 finishes. (Nick Chubb & Saquon Barkley)
The Ravens have allowed a rushing touchdown in 4 of the last 5 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 16 Saturday Preview
Pittsburgh Steelers
Player
Fantasy Rank (PPR)
Week 16 Ranking
Start %
FP/G
FP/G Last 4 Weeks
Off. Snaps/G
TGT/G
TGT %
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
George Pickens
34th
Low WR2
81%
13.0
12.6
78%
7.5
25.1
27.9
25.4
219
13
34.4
27.3
13.5
Van Jefferson
111th
Outside the Top 60
35%
3.9
5.1
65%
2.3
8
20
23.9
77
3
10.1
13
6
Calvin Austin
77th
Mid WR5
55%
7.4
10.2
49%
3.4
11.3
19.1
61.2
146
4
14.9
25.6
5.7
Pat Freiermuth (TE)
TE17
High TE2
70%
9.3
13.4
69%
4.0
13.3
23.4
52.3
232
1
15.3
17.6
3.8
Baltimore Ravens
Player
Fantasy Rank (PPR)
Week 16 Ranking
Start %
FP/G
FP/G Last 4 Weeks
Off. Snaps/G
TGT/G
TGT %
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
Zay Flowers
29th
High WR3
79%
13.3
10.9
78%
7.2
24.7
28.9
36.5
402
7
29.6
38.3
10.4
Rashod Batemon
35th
Low WR4
63%
10.4
11.8
70%
4.3
13.8
25
8
145
7
14.8
29.8
13.8
Mark Andrews (TE)
TE9
High TE2
70%
10.3
15.0
59%
3.8
13.1
19.7
64.9
141
6
14.4
34.2
5.1
Isaiah Likely (TE)
TE23
Low TE2
50%
7.5
6.2
57%
3.8
12.9
16.5
54.2
239
7
14.5
21.7
4.4
George Pickens is still a TBD if he plays.
The Steelers have allowed opposing WR1s to have 60 yards with a touchdown in the last 3 games.
Pat Freiermuth has averaged just 33 yards in 6 career games versus the Ravens.
The Ravens have allowed opposing WR1s to have 80 or more receiving yards in 6 of the last 7 games.
Mark Andrews has never scored against the Steelers in his career.
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Glossary of Terms | Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview
Quarterbacks
FP/G
Fantasy Points per Game
YPA
Passing Yards per Attempt
SCRM
QB Rush Attempts per Game
YDS/G
Yards Per Game
First Read %
Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws
YAC %
Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch
Press %
Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure
ADOT
Average Depth of Target
Running Backs
FP/G
Fantasy Points per Game
ATT/G
Attempts per Game
ATT %
Team Carry Share
TGT %
Team Target Share
Off. Snaps/G
Offensive Snaps per Game
i5 %
Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries
i20 %
Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries
EXP RUN %
Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards
MTF/ATT
Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
YACO/ATT
Yards After Contact per Attempt
YBCO/ATT
Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Pass Catchers
FP/G
Fantasy Points per Game
Off. Snaps/G
Offensive Snaps Per Game
TGT/G
Targets Per Game
TGT %
Team Target Share
RTE/G
Routes Run Per Game
SLOT RTE %
Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot
YAC
Yards After the Catch
EZTGT
Endzone Targets
1READ %
Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets
MAN WIN RATE
Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
ZONE WIN RATE
Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
Matchup Score
A weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most
Advantage Score
A weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa.
