NFL Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview | The Numbers You Need to Know

The Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview!

Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5)

Game Summary | Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview

• Wednesday at 1:00 PM EST
  • Acrisure Stadium
  • Field Type: Grass
• Weather: Partly Cloudy
• Kansas City Chiefs are favored (-3) with an Over/Under of 43.5
• Stream on Netflix

Team	Def. Rank Vs. QBs	Def. Rank Vs. RBs	Def. Rank Vs. WRs	Def. Rank Vs. TEs	Def. 2 Man %	Def. Zone %	1-HI Sfty%	2-HI Sfty%	Offensive Plays Ran	Points Per Game	Pass Yards Per Game	Rush Yards per Game
Chiefs	11th	1st	15th	29th	34.2	58.7	39.1	60.9	66.7	23.7	225.9	112.9
Steelers	3rd	11th	12th	21st	33.3	64.2	68	32	63.3	23.5	198.9	126

Quarterbacks | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Kansas City Chiefs

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

Patrick Mahomes

11th

High QB2

85%

20.1

20

36.2

3.8

270.9

62.6

59.8

30.6

6.7

8.3

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

Russell Wilson

13th

QB3

48%

19.3

20.7

29.8

3.7

245.9

60.1

48.7

35.2

8.2

11.6

• The Chiefs have not allowed a QB1 performance over the last 4 games.
• The Steelers have allowed at least 2 touchdowns to a QB in 4-straight games.

Running Backs | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Kansas City Chiefs
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	ATT/G	ATT %	Off. Snaps/G	TGT %	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
Isiah Pacheco	37th	High Rb4	68%	9.2	5.8	12.8	18.4	51%	7.4	42.9	34.5	1.3	0.09	1.79	2.00
Samaje Perine	60th	Outside The Top 48	45%	4.9	4.5	1.1	4.1	25%	5.7	3.7	2.4	0	0.06	2.00	2.82
Kareem Hunt	26th	Mid RB3	75%	12.3	7.3	15.9	45.6	52%	6.2	84.2	60.3	1.6	0.08	1.96	1.75
Pittsburgh Steelers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	ATT/G	ATT %	Off. Snaps/G	TGT %	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
Najee Harris	29th	Low RB3	74%	11.9	10.9	15.9	49.7	50%	8.6	44.0	52.9	4.2	0.21	2.40	1.52
Jaylen Warren	43rd	Mid RB3	76%	8.1	9.1	7.9	21.5	45%	10.3	13.6	17.3	2.9	0.17	2.50	1.57

• The Chiefs have kept an opposing running back under 65 rushing yards in all but one game this year.
• The Steelers have allowed an opposing RB to have 100 all-purpose yards in 2 of the last 4 games.

Pass Catchers | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Kansas City Chiefs
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
DeAndre Hopkins	52nd	Mid WR4	65%	9.6	10.6	51%	4.3	15.4	24.6	28.5	106	3	20.1	28.7	9.3
Xavier Worthy	42nd	Low WR3	70%	10.9	15.0	67%	6.1	16	29.9	36.2	341	7	20.5	20.7	5.6
Hollywood Brown	54th	High WR5	58%	9.5	9.5	21%	8	9.3	16.8	21.8	126	3	11.8	22	8.3
Travis Kelce (TE)	TE7	Low TE1	77%	11.5	9.5	84%	8.1	21.7	5.9	9.1	29	0	0.3	14.3	4.8
Noah Gray (TE)	TE24	Low TE2	52%	7.5	7.1	60%	3.1	8.3	17.0	30.2	206	5	8.2	9.7	4.2
Pittsburgh Steelers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
George Pickens	35th	Low WR2	84%	13.0	16.4	78%	7.5	25.1	27.9	25.4	219	13	34.4	27.3	13.5
Van Jefferson	113th	Outside the Top 60	30%	3.9	4.8	66%	2.3	8.1	20.5	23.1	79	3	9.9	12.6	5.5
Calvin Austin	73rd	Mid WR5	55%	7.6	8.6	51%	3.5	11.6	19.7	59.3	154	4	16	25	5.1
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	TE16	Low TE1	73%	9.0	12.1	69%	3.9	13.0	23.7	53.8	234	1	15.3	16.1	3.4

• The Chiefs have allowed an opposing WR1 to finish with 15 or more fantasy points in 7-straight games.
  • Kansas City has allowed 45 or more yards to a TE in 4 of the last 5 games.
• The Steelers have allowed 3 100-yard receivers in the last 2 weeks.
  • Pittsburgh has kept opposing TEs under 45 yards in 4 of the last 5 games.

Baltimore Ravens (10-5) vs Houston Texans (9-6)

Game Summary | Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview

• Wednesday at 4:30 PM EST
  • NRG Stadium
  • Field Type: Turf
• Weather: Indoors
• Baltimore Ravens are favored (-5) with an Over/Under of 46.5
• Stream on Netflix

Team	Def. Rank Vs. QBs	Def. Rank Vs. RBs	Def. Rank Vs. WRs	Def. Rank Vs. TEs	Def. 2 Man %	Def. Zone %	1-HI Sfty%	2-HI Sfty%	Offensive Plays Ran	Points Per Game	Pass Yards Per Game	Rush Yards per Game
Ravens	28th	8th	30th	20th	30.7	65	54	45.8	61.8	30.1	242.5	181.2
Texans	15th	4th	27th	10th	26.8	69.1	54.4	45.6	63.1	23.1	213.7	109.6

Quarterbacks | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Baltimore Ravens

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

Lamar Jackson

1st

High QB1

98%

30.1

34

28.5

8.4

304.2

62.8

49.8

34.1

9.2

7.5

Houston Texans

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

C.J. Stroud

26th

Low QB2

68%

16.4

17.4

33.0

3.4

247.9

61.2

46

38.6

8.4

10.7

• The Ravens have kept QBs under 220 passing yards in 4-straight games.
• The Texans have allowed 260 or more passing yards in 3 of the last 5 games.

Running Backs | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Baltimore Ravens

Player

Fantasy Rank (PPR)

Week 17 Ranking

Start %

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

ATT/G

ATT %

Off. Snaps/G

TGT %

i5%

i20%

EXP Run %

MTF/ATT

YACO/ATT

YBCO/ATT

Derrick Henry

6th

Low RB1

91%

18.8

13.9

18.5

58.4

56%

3.7

88.9

62.8

6.8

0.21

3.04

2.85

Houston Texans

Player

Fantasy Rank (PPR)

Week 17 Ranking

Start %

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

ATT/G

ATT %

Off. Snaps/G

TGT %

i5%

i20%

EXP Run %

MTF/ATT

YACO/ATT

YBCO/ATT

Joe Mixon

3rd

High RB2

86%

19.2

13.5

19.3

59.5

67%

11.9

84.6

82.8

4.8

0.13

2.36

1.83

• The Ravens have allowed 2 running backs over 50 rushing yards in the last 7 games.
• The Texans have kept opposing running backs under 60 rushing yards in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pass Catchers | Week 17 Wednesday Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Zay Flowers	29th	Low WR2	82%	13.4	12.2	79%	7.3	25.2	28.5	36.9	428	7	30.6	41.2	10.1
Rashod Batemon	45th	Mid WR4	65%	10.3	10.5	71%	4.2	13.8	24.7	8.1	145	8	14.6	28.6	13.9
Mark Andrews (TE)	TE8	Mid TE1	80%	10.6	14.4	60%	3.9	13.8	19.4	64.9	148	7	15.3	34.8	5.5
Isaiah Likley (TE)	TE22	Low TE2	58%	7.8	10.1	58%	3.7	12.9	16.3	54.4	246	7	14.2	21.7	4.3
Houston Texans
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Nico Collins	4th	Mid WR1	95%	18.7	16.9	71%	8.9	24.7	30.5	23.3	346	10	31.4	31.1	17.6
Robert Woods	136th	Outside the Top 60	40%	3.2	2.7	33%	2.2	5.3	11.1	41	64	2	4.2	16.7	10.6
Dalton Schultz (TE)	TE25	High TE2	70%	7.2	12.0	80%	5.1	14.7	27.4	27	204	3	14.9	21.4	5.7

• The Ravens have allowed an opposing WR1 to finish as a WR2 or better in 5 of the last 7 games.
  • Baltimore has not allowed a TE over 45 yards in 6-straight games.
• The Texans have allowed 60 yards and a touchdown to a receiver in 3 of the last 5 games.
  • Houston has allowed 8 or more fantasy points to a TE in the last 5 games.

Seattle Seahawks (8-7) vs Chicago Bears (4-11)

Game Summary | Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview

• Thursday Night Football at 8:15 PM EST
  • Soldier Field
  • Field Type: Turf
• Weather: Chance of Rain
• Seattle Seahawks are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 43.5
• Stream on Prime Video

Team	Def. Rank Vs. QBs	Def. Rank Vs. RBs	Def. Rank Vs. WRs	Def. Rank Vs. TEs	Def. 2 Man %	Def. Zone %	1-HI Sfty%	2-HI Sfty%	Offensive Plays Ran	Points Per Game	Pass Yards Per Game	Rush Yards per Game
Seahawks	19th	17th	20th	16th	30.4	64.1	49.6	50.4	61.7	22.6	244.5	91.9
Bears	2nd	30th	11th	24th	18.2	76.3	59	41	63.3	18.9	191.3	103.2

Quarterbacks | Week 17 Thursday Preview

Seattle Seahawks

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

Geno Smith

23rd

Mid QB2

70%

17.7

15.4

35.2

3.2

278.4

61.7

50

30.3

7.6

9.5

Chicago Bears

Player

Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)

Week 17 Ranking

Confidence Start Rating

FP/G

FP/G Last 4 Weeks

A/G

SCRM

YDS/G

1 Read %

YAC %

Press %

ADOT

CHK %

Caleb Williams

21st

High QB2

82%

17.9

22.2

34.3

4.9

247.1

63.6

52.2

31.8

8.5

7.1

• Seattle has allowed 4-straight games of a quarterback throwing for 2 or more passing touchdowns.
• The Bears have allowed a 300-yard passer with 2 passing touchdowns in 3 of the last 5 games.

Running Backs | Week 17 Thursday Preview

Seattle Seahawks
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	ATT/G	ATT %	Off. Snaps/G	TGT %	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
Ken Walker	12th	Low RB1	90%	16.5	10.3	13.9	45.8	63%	12.7	57.1	62.2	3.9	0.30	2.65	1.09
Zach Charbonnet	31st	Mid RB3	74%	11.2	16.8	7.1	32.0	50%	8.1	44.4	38.9	4.7	0.22	2.59	1.68
Chicago Bears
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	ATT/G	ATT %	Off. Snaps/G	TGT %	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
D’Andre Swift	23rd	Low RB2	80%	12.7	8.2	14.7	57.9	66%	8.7	39.1	50.8	4.1	0.13	2.15	1.65
Roschon Johnson	48th	Outside the Top 48	45%	6.4	0.2	2.9	12.8	31%	3.4	42.9	28.0	0	0.08	1.86	1.04

• Seattle has allowed 80 all-purpose yards to an opposing RB in 3-straight games.
• The Bears have allowed 70 yards with a touchdown to an RB in 4 of the last 6 games.

Pass Catchers | Week 17 Thursday Preview

Seattle Seahawks
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
D.K. Metcalf	34th	Mid WR3	75%	13.1	10.0	86%	7.7	20.8	35.4	13.5	241	9	27.9	20.2	6.8
Tyler Lockett	78th	Outside the Top 60	30%	7.4	2.9	70%	4.4	11	31.1	29.8	118	7	14.7	21.2	6.4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	15th	High WR2	89%	16.0	18.5	85%	8.4	22.7	35.3	84.7	465	11	25.8	21.5	6.4
Noah Fant (TE)	TE29	Low TE2	50%	6.5	5.7	64%	4.4	11.7	26.8	54.8	202	3	12.9	6.2	3
Chicago Bears
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 17 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	FP/G Last 4 Weeks	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
D.J. Moore	27th	Low WR2	81%	13.5	15.9	93%	8.1	23.8	37.9	28.1	481	8	30.6	24.7	7.1
Keenan Allen	31st	Low WR2	80%	13.3	19.9	86%	8.5	24.6	33.2	52.9	228	12	29.9	28.6	7.1
Rome Odunze	55th	Low WR4	61%	9.2	10.1	82%	6.3	18.1	32.3	36.3	249	14	20.7	23.7	8.2
Cole Kmet (TE)	TE21	Outside the Top 24	50%	7.9	4.2	86%	3.5	10.4	26.1	63.3	196	2	9.6	11.8	3.9

• Seattle has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns to a receiver over the last 3 games.
  • The Seahawks have kept opposing TEs under 40 yards in 3 of the last 4 games.
• The Bears have allowed a pair of receivers to have over 60 yards in back-to-back games.
  • Chicago has allowed 40 or more yards to a TE in 4 of the last 5 games.

---

Our Dynasty Nerds Writing Staff recently finished a three-round 1QB Rookie Mock for the 2025 NFL Draft! Read about the top 36 rookie prospects, along with All-22 video footage from our Nerds Film Room to gain an early edge on your league mates:

https://dynastynerds-staging.centralus.cloudapp.azure.com/1qb-rookie-mock-3rd-the-2025-nfl-draft/

Thank you for reading the Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview! Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “COACH” for 15% off any membership. You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!

Glossary of Terms | Week 17 Wednesday/Thursday Preview